ISIS by Halcrow > Technical Training > Introduction to Probabilistic Flood Modelling

Introduction to Probabilistic Flood Modelling

Overview

Flood risk management increasingly relies on probabilistic modelling to understand the sources of flood risk. Probabilistic modelling allows us to understand both the variability in the natural processes that generate flooding, and the uncertainty generated by our flood models, and to use this understanding to make informed decisions.

This course is aimed at those who are involved in building and running probabilistic models, and those involved in using or reviewing their outputs. The course will equip attendees with an understanding of the theory underpinning probabilistic modelling, and the skills to work with probabilistic model outputs and make informed decisions based on uncertain modelling. The course will also explore probabilistic methods used in the UK such as NaFRA and Flood Mapping From All Sources. The course assumes no prior knowledge of probabilistic methods, but some experience in hydraulic or hydrological modelling is a distinct advantage.

The course is normally taught over one day, and delivered through a series of presentations, hands-on practicals and open discussion sessions.

The course can be tailored to your specific requirements, contact us for details. If you need training in specific topics not listed below please contact us to discuss your needs.

Typical Course Outline

Introduction to probability in flood risk management – statistical hydrology, depth-probability, risk
Natural variability and model uncertainty in flood modelling
Probabilistic modelling methods
Practical: Monte Carlo modelling
Interpreting probabilistic results
Dependency and interaction between flood sources
Case studies in NaFRA and FMAS (Flood Mapping From All Sources)
Practical: Understanding NaFRA outputs

Cost

The total cost of this one-day course is £250+VAT per person.

Further details

This course starts at 9:30am and ends at 5pm on both days. Lunches, morning and afternoon refreshments are provided.

Book your course

Training courses available

Training course information

Interested in learning more

Contact Vijay Jain or Alastair Sheppard on +44 (0)845 094 7990 or for training information.

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